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Are Marc Gasol and Rudy Gay All-Star Reserves?

Tonight the All-Star reserves will be announced, and the Grizzlies have two viable candidates to make the roster in Marc Gasol and Rudy Gay. The Western Conference, per usual, is loaded with deserving stars and it remains to be seen how the coaches will look on Memphis given their bumpy up-and-down season to date.

Still, though, both Gasol and Gay have a case to be made at being named the first Grizz All-Star since Zach Randolph in 2010. Let's take a look at what they're bringing to the table.

Star-divide

Gay.

The case: With Z-Bo sidelined, Rudy's role has returned to the not-so-distant old days. He's asked to be the primary scorer on a team desperate for points on many nights, and one can't say he hasn't at least taken the role seriously. Gay is attempting six more shots per game than the closest Grizzly, is shooting 44.6 percent from the floor while doing so, and is the team's leading scorer at 18.4 points a night.

His Win Share, though -- the estimated number of wins a player gives his team -- is rather low at 1.7, and his Player Efficiency Rating (PER), which looks into a player's all-around play, of 16.3 is really pretty average and ranks 104th among qualified players around the league, tied with Mario Chalmers.

The best case to be made for Gay, though, is that in Grizzlies' wins he's scoring 20.5 per game while shooting 50 percent from the field with close to three assists, while in losses, he's scoring only 16.2 per, assisting on one less bucket, and shooting 39.3 from the floor. So it may not necessarily be as cut and dry as the "as he goes, his team goes" argument (Memphis is 13-13 after all), but when Gay is better, his team has a much better chance to win.

Guess: I don't think he quite cracks the Western Conference reserves, but could possibly fill in as an injury replacement.

Gasol.

The case: He is the Grizzlies' anchor on both ends, leading the team in rebounds and blocks as he's had to try to pick up the low-post slack left by Randolph. Excluding Z-Bo, Gasol is attempting the second-most shots on the team behind Gay, a sign he's trying to take a share of the scoring load, but even though he's getting 15 points a night, his shooting numbers aren't great. He's leading Memphis in field goal percentage while hovering around 50 percent, but this isn't really a high number for a player who should be getting more looks closer to the basket; Gasol is shooting 37.3 percent between 3-9 feet this season, and has actually been hitting better from outside, using that pick-and-pop game we see so often to success.

His PER of 19.4 stands at 46th overall in the league among qualified players and 14th among centers, both pretty respectable ranks, and his Win Share is nearly four, easily leading the Grizzlies in that category. He's pretty darn important to this team, and his defensive presence cannot be undervalued. Memphis, with its on-and-off scoring struggles, has had to rely on its stingy defense -- and in turn Gasol's smarts and skills in the middle -- often.

Gasol should definitely be considered as an All-Star on those qualifications alone, but the NBA's archaic position requirements should only aid him more. The reserve selections call for two forwards, two guards, two wild cards and one center. Since a center in the classical sense is growing tougher and tougher to come by in the league today, and Gasol is a center through and through, his name should be right there with Nene and Marcin Gortat, the other likely top considerations.

Guess: Gasol makes it in as the reserve center, as the year of younger brothers upstaging their older siblings continues. No offense, Pau.

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If Marc Gasol isn’t an All Star, I’ll have to restructure my entire view on life. I think, pound for pound, Gasol is the best center in the Western Conference. I wouldn’t argue with having Bynum listed above him, just because of his physical presence, but Marc is a serious talent. Who should make it over him? Marcin Gortat? Can you even name three other western conference centers? Marc should be on that team.

Rudy is having a nice year, but he’s not really playing at an All Star level in my opinion. That, and the forward position is incredibly deep. It would be nice to have him on there, but I don’t see him making it. Now if he feels like competing in the Dunk Contest….well that’d be just swell.

It was a particularly small egg...thats why I asked.

@realkeithtweets

by thenightstallion on Feb 9, 2012 11:41 AM CST reply actions  

totally agree.

Marc is awesome. With a little more love from the refs, and not being under pressure to play like 47.5 mpg, I think he’d be even better.

Truly a night of Magrocodile - Mike Payne

by n8dogg606 on Feb 9, 2012 2:13 PM CST up reply actions  

I don’t think he’ll be playing as many minutes when Randolph returns, which by the way, it made my heart leap to see him on the court taking some shots yesterday, but then the question becomes how will his playing be effected? I think he’ll be right on par with what he’s been averaging. Rudy is gonna be the big question. We’re gonna need him to start knocking down his jumper more, and he loves to settle for jumpers, so this could be a win win.

It was a particularly small egg...thats why I asked.

@realkeithtweets

by thenightstallion on Feb 9, 2012 3:14 PM CST up reply actions  

we'll finally find out

if rudy and z-bo can co-exist on a functional Grizzlies team. Will Rudy be afraid to penetrate and take good shots knowing Z-bo is in there? Will that make him settle for bad jumpers and ball-hoggery? Or will he be able to get more open looks? Or will Z-bo’s return mean Rudy doesn’t have to handle the pressure of being the “superstar”, allowing him to again, get more open looks when Z-bo is double-teamed?

If the latter, then I’ve said it before, the Grizz running on all cylinders remind me of the ‘04 Pistons team. It’s gonna be a fun second half of the season.

Truly a night of Magrocodile - Mike Payne

by n8dogg606 on Feb 9, 2012 4:58 PM CST up reply actions  

I have every reason to believe that its going to work out. They both coexisted pretty well two years ago, however we were still a few games under .500. But now Conley is better, Gasol is better, and Rudy is better than he was then. If ZBo is healthy, we should be able to go on a serious run.

It was a particularly small egg...thats why I asked.

@realkeithtweets

by thenightstallion on Feb 9, 2012 5:47 PM CST up reply actions  

Two years ago...

Was Z-Bo even playing that well? I honestly could barely remember him then. I think he was still a “knucklehead” at the time and only recently grew more mature and learned to share the ball.

I hope we do go on a serious run. It’s scary how deep the West is now, especially with the Wolves and Suns creeping up behind.

by muffin1man on Feb 9, 2012 7:38 PM CST up reply actions  

He was still first name 20-last name 10. People forget he made the All Star team two years ago, mainly because he was snubbed last year. He played really well. Our problem that year, as has been the case the last few weeks, was the fourth quarter, I remember several games I went to where we would play really well the first three quarters, and just couldn’t close out. Sound familiar?

But Zach was at 20-11 a game and shooting close to 50%

It was a particularly small egg...thats why I asked.

@realkeithtweets

by thenightstallion on Feb 9, 2012 8:06 PM CST up reply actions  

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